Evidence and shared decisions
Finding lung cancer earlier
Low dose CT (LDCT) is the established screening test for eligible people who do not have lung cancer symptoms. Merrimack Thoracic & Esophageal Surgery helps patients in Southern New Hampshire and the Merrimack Valley understand screening and determine the next step after an abnormal scan.
Discuss screening or an abnormal scanAnnual low dose CT
Who should consider lung cancer screening?
Current recommendations and insurance coverage are not identical. A pack year means smoking one pack of cigarettes a day for one year. One pack a day for 20 years, or two packs a day for 10 years, is 20 pack years.
| Source | Who it includes |
|---|---|
| USPSTF | Annual LDCT for adults ages 50 through 80 with at least 20 pack years who currently smoke or quit within the past 15 years. Stop after 15 years without smoking, or when health substantially limits life expectancy or the ability or willingness to undergo curative lung surgery. |
| American Cancer Society | Annual LDCT for adults ages 50 through 80 with at least 20 pack years who currently or formerly smoked. There is no cutoff based on when someone quit. Screening is not recommended when serious health problems limit life expectancy or the ability or willingness to receive treatment. |
| Medicare | Coverage for eligible beneficiaries ages 50 through 77 who are asymptomatic, have at least 20 pack years, currently smoke or quit within 15 years, receive an appropriate order, and complete the required initial counseling and shared decision making visit. |
The decision includes your health, expected benefit, preferences, and willingness to complete follow up and treatment if needed. People who have never smoked are not routinely included in these U.S. screening recommendations.
Screening is different from diagnosis
- Screening looks for cancer before symptoms develop, using LDCT in eligible people at increased risk.
- Diagnostic evaluation investigates symptoms or an abnormal finding. Coughing blood, unexplained weight loss, a persistent new cough, chest pain, or worsening shortness of breath calls for medical evaluation.
- Surveillance follows a known nodule or monitors a person after cancer treatment. The imaging schedule and tests are tailored to that situation, rather than simply following annual screening rules.
Chest radiography (a chest X-ray) is not an effective substitute for LDCT lung cancer screening. PET/CT is not a routine screening test, and a blood test does not replace LDCT. Our liquid biopsy page discusses blood testing separately.
September 24, 2026 IARC / NEJM synthesis
What does the evidence show?
The September 24, 2026 New England Journal of Medicine Special Report, IARC Perspective on Lung Cancer Screening, summarizes an International Agency for Research on Cancer expert review of existing studies. It is an evidence synthesis, not a new clinical trial. It informs the forthcoming IARC Handbook Volume 21.
The IARC working group concluded that LDCT screening in people at high risk based on age and smoking history reduces deaths from lung cancer and the occurrence of advanced disease. These benefits depend on choosing appropriate patients, obtaining quality images, and completing the recommended follow up.
Foundational randomized trials include the U.S. National Lung Screening Trial (NLST), which compared LDCT with chest X-rays, and the European NELSON trial, which compared CT screening with no screening. Both support LDCT screening in appropriately selected people at higher risk. Their findings do not mean every person benefits equally or that every cancer will be detected.
What happens after a screening CT?
Screening facilities generally use the American College of Radiology's Lung-RADS system to classify findings and recommend follow up. An abnormal result is not a cancer diagnosis. Many lung nodules are benign, and not every nodule needs a biopsy.
Depending on a finding's appearance, size, and growth, the next step may be:
- Return to annual screening
- A repeat CT at a shorter interval
- A diagnostic chest CT
- PET/CT in selected cases
- Bronchoscopy or needle biopsy
- Thoracic surgical evaluation
Comparison with earlier scans is often critical. Please arrange for our office to receive the actual images, not only the written report. A normal screening result does not remove the need to evaluate new symptoms.
Benefits and limitations of screening
LDCT can identify lung cancer when treatment is more likely to be successful and can reduce the risk of dying from lung cancer. Screening also has harms that should be discussed before starting:
- False positives: a concerning finding may turn out not to be cancer, but can still lead to additional testing.
- Overdiagnosis: screening may find a cancer that would never have caused symptoms or shortened life. Treating it can cause harm without providing benefit.
- Radiation exposure: LDCT uses less radiation than a standard diagnostic chest CT, but repeated scans and repeat imaging add exposure and a small potential cancer risk.
- Unnecessary procedures: some people undergo biopsies or operations for findings that are ultimately benign. Complications can include bleeding, infection, or a collapsed lung.
- Anxiety: an uncertain result or waiting for follow up can cause distress.
Screening can also miss cancer and identify unrelated abnormalities that lead to further evaluation. Structured follow up and careful clinical judgment help balance these risks against the potential benefit.
Screening is not a substitute for stopping smoking. Help is available through Smokefree.gov and 1-800-QUIT-NOW.
Screening is becoming more individualized
Age and smoking history remain central to current U.S. eligibility criteria. Individual decisions also consider overall health, other lung cancer risk factors, life expectancy, previous imaging, and personal preferences. A screening recommendation and the plan for an existing nodule are different decisions.
Researchers are studying better ways to estimate risk, blood tests, AI analysis of CT images, patient navigation, and tools that use health records to identify people who may qualify for screening. These approaches are still being studied. None replaces LDCT, and their effect on patient outcomes remains uncertain.
When biomarkers may add useful information
Merrimack Thoracic & Esophageal Surgery may use selected biomarkers as adjuncts when they answer a specific clinical question. We consider whether a test is appropriate for the clinical setting, what its limitations are, and whether the result could change the next step.
Biomarkers do not replace LDCT screening, imaging follow up, or tissue diagnosis when needed. A negative biomarker result cannot rule out lung cancer, and a positive result does not by itself establish the diagnosis. These tests are interpreted with imaging and clinical findings, not in isolation.
Individual assessment
How we approach an abnormal screening CT
Dr. Mane reviews the actual CT images and prior imaging, not just the radiology report. The assessment brings together:
- Clinical risk, including smoking history, symptoms, relevant exposures, and other health conditions
- Nodule shape, edges, density, size, and growth over time
- PET/CT when appropriate, recognizing that it has limitations and is not a diagnosis by itself
- Selected biomarkers when appropriate to the question being considered
- Biopsy options, including bronchoscopy or needle biopsy guided by imaging, and their likely value and risks
- Lung function, overall fitness, surgical risk, and your preferences
Together, these findings guide whether to repeat imaging, obtain more information, pursue a biopsy, or consider surgery. A single scan, scan report, or blood test result should not make that decision on its own.
Independent care led by a thoracic surgeon
A clear next step after an abnormal scan
Our office helps explain findings and coordinate imaging, biopsy, and treatment when indicated with radiologists, pulmonologists, medical oncologists, and radiation oncologists across the Merrimack Valley and Southern New Hampshire.
A referral to a thoracic surgeon does not mean that you have cancer or need an operation. The purpose is to obtain the right evaluation without unnecessary delay or unnecessary procedures.
Sources and further reading
This educational overview is not an individual medical recommendation. Guidelines and coverage rules change. The IARC evidence synthesis is summarized in original language; its tables are not reproduced. Journal access may require a subscription.
- IARC: September 24, 2026 evidence synthesis and Handbook Volume 21 announcement
- NEJM: IARC Perspective on Lung Cancer Screening (2026 Special Report)
- U.S. Preventive Services Task Force: Lung cancer screening
- American Cancer Society: Lung cancer screening guidance
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services: LDCT coverage
- American College of Radiology: Lung-RADS
- National Cancer Institute: National Lung Screening Trial
- NELSON trial: CT screening and lung cancer mortality
